Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 1.381535 1.706618 2.130464 2.742435 3.638276 4.965616 7.225678
2025-03-02 0.995657 1.360841 1.919117 2.907503 4.813331 8.946128 21.707302
2025-03-09 0.777894 1.128757 1.720673 2.924665 5.799352 14.729685 77.253225
2025-03-16 0.629262 0.947282 1.518311 2.793830 6.364437 21.640687 392.993085
2025-03-23 0.556068 0.868294 1.465697 2.941329 7.922293 41.740844 NaN
2025-03-30 0.491847 0.788329 1.382490 2.967417 9.224522 79.034359 NaN
2025-04-06 0.434646 0.709183 1.277316 2.878925 10.016082 140.906094 NaN
2025-04-13 0.390819 0.647719 1.194711 2.816487 10.946271 295.041283 NaN
2025-04-20 0.372867 0.633876 1.216368 3.099187 14.862664 4556.312585 NaN
2025-04-27 0.351361 0.608831 1.204429 3.266659 18.934546 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.325797 0.571260 1.152023 3.254381 21.593546 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.299254 0.528157 1.076561 3.112402 22.405216 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.283321 0.506912 1.056906 3.212368 27.949532 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.271564 0.493475 1.056146 3.407812 38.238954 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.256338 0.470205 1.022632 3.426834 46.039122 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.238475 0.438924 0.960187 3.262807 47.054838 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.230309 0.429383 0.960547 3.447080 67.375238 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.219690 0.412835 0.936454 3.479761 84.840675 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.207381 0.391061 0.892541 3.368934 91.477597 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.196792 0.372560 0.856300 3.290939 101.897540 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.194244 0.373402 0.882159 3.645382 212.066983 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.189274 0.367698 0.885540 3.856908 412.915490 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.181573 0.354396 0.860911 3.841362 583.319537 NaN NaN